Since 9/11, there has been a talking point among the media and Democrats (yes, I know, they are practically one and the same and henceforth referred to as "the left" in this post). It goes like this..... right-wing (read: white and/or Christian) extremists among us are more deadly than Muslim extremists. They often highlight the Dylan Roof massacre of nine black parishioners in Charleston, SC on 6/17/15 as the most powerful example. Several other lesser known or lower-body count murders by other non-Muslim extremists are also counted. Not included are several non-politically and/or non-religiously motivated killings such as Aurora's James Holmes, Sandy Hook's Adam Lanza, Tuscon's Jared Lee Loughner and others. These exclusions are understandable and welcome.
On the surface, it would seem the numbers support the hype since there have been almost double the number of deadly attacks by right-wing extremists than Muslim extremists (henceforth referred to as jihadists). Shortly after the Charleston massacre and especially after the Colorado Springs Planned Parenthood killings of three by Robert Lewis Dear Jr. on 11/27/15, the left crowed about the body count disparity being about 48 to 26 dead. According to them, that was rock-solid, irrefutable proof of how much more hateful, dangerous and deadly the right-wing in America is than not only jihadis but also anybody who might favor the Democratic Party. It is as though they not-so-secretly hope and pray each mass killing was/will be conducted by a rabid, NRA card-carrying, GOP bumper-sticker sporting, gas-guzzling/exhaust-belching monster truck driving, racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic redneck hillbilly and most importantly (above all else)..... a Trump supporter!
Under the surface, the numbers tell a remarkably different story, especially after 11/27/15. Also, one does not need to limit the numbers to after that date because the numbers do not favor the left before then either.
There is a left-wing organization called New America Foundation which has been referenced repeatedly in left-wing publications and websites (see here, here, here, and here) in particular during the days, weeks and months preceding the Orlando massacre. The site provides detailed records of each extremist attack, along with a running total for Jihadist (95), Far Right-Wing (51) and a new category: Black Separatist/Nationalist/Supremacist (8). I guess with the advent of Black Lives Matter, there is now a need to add a new category of extremism in America. Not good. An important note: as of the date of this initial blog post (6/18/17), the body count for the far right wing shows 53 killed but it includes the 5/26/17 Portland train stabbing of two unarmed protectors of a Muslim woman being harassed by a white man. The site highlights the killer's use of anti-immigrant hate speech, supporting Timothy McVeigh, posting white supremacist views on social media and more. What it does not highlight is the killer's support of socialist Senator Bernie Sanders and Green Party candidate Jill Stein in 2016. With this bit of very important news omitted from the site's explanation for including him in their "Far Right Wing" category, I cannot include his needless murder of two good Samaritans. If anything, it should have been left off the site entirely due to his history being nebulous.
Here is the purpose of this post and precisely why the numbers do not favor the left's narrative of which extremists are more deadly. I will be updating this post as inevitable future attacks occur, unfortunately. The key to this is the population percentage of each group compared to the total US population and how many deaths each group is responsible for as a percentage of the overall US population. In other words: per capita, just as pretty much all other crime stats are figured.
As of 2015, Non-Hispanic Whites are by far the largest fraction of US citizens at 61% (195,645,900 of 318,868,500) and Christians are by far the largest denomination at 75% (nearly 280,000,000 or so). US Muslims in 2015 were considerably less populous at about 2.1% (3.3 million). Based purely on sheer numbers of the available pool of possible white or Christian extremists, it makes total sense deaths at their hands might be considerably higher than every other extremist possibility. However, at this point in US history since 9/11, the numbers say otherwise.
As I said earlier, the media, Democrats and others giddily highlighted a time when the numbers were solidly in favor of their anti-white, anti-Christian narrative, before the end of November, 2015. December, 2015 brought us the San Bernardino killings of 14 by Syed Rizwan Farook and Tashfeen Malik, a married Muslim couple, bumping the body count closer to even at 48-45. At this point, surely the Democrats and the media are beginning to sweat the numbers since they know all it takes is one more mass killing in the name of Islam to ruin their narrative and that could happen at any moment.
That unfortunate moment arrived on 6/12/16 in Orlando, FL when the pro-Hillary, anti-Trump, ISIS-supporting Omar Mateen massacred 49 defenseless patrons of the Pulse nightclub where some, if not many, of them were homosexuals. Most likely this caused a great deal of consternation on the left because two of the three most protected identity groups of the left were involved in very different ways in this event: Muslims and the LGBTQ community (third most-protected group being blacks). "A Muslim killed a bunch of gays!!! What should we do? I know, let's blame the gun, like always."
There is a left-wing organization called New America Foundation which has been referenced repeatedly in left-wing publications and websites (see here, here, here, and here) in particular during the days, weeks and months preceding the Orlando massacre. The site provides detailed records of each extremist attack, along with a running total for Jihadist (95), Far Right-Wing (51) and a new category: Black Separatist/Nationalist/Supremacist (8). I guess with the advent of Black Lives Matter, there is now a need to add a new category of extremism in America. Not good. An important note: as of the date of this initial blog post (6/18/17), the body count for the far right wing shows 53 killed but it includes the 5/26/17 Portland train stabbing of two unarmed protectors of a Muslim woman being harassed by a white man. The site highlights the killer's use of anti-immigrant hate speech, supporting Timothy McVeigh, posting white supremacist views on social media and more. What it does not highlight is the killer's support of socialist Senator Bernie Sanders and Green Party candidate Jill Stein in 2016. With this bit of very important news omitted from the site's explanation for including him in their "Far Right Wing" category, I cannot include his needless murder of two good Samaritans. If anything, it should have been left off the site entirely due to his history being nebulous.
Here is the purpose of this post and precisely why the numbers do not favor the left's narrative of which extremists are more deadly. I will be updating this post as inevitable future attacks occur, unfortunately. The key to this is the population percentage of each group compared to the total US population and how many deaths each group is responsible for as a percentage of the overall US population. In other words: per capita, just as pretty much all other crime stats are figured.
As of 2015, Non-Hispanic Whites are by far the largest fraction of US citizens at 61% (195,645,900 of 318,868,500) and Christians are by far the largest denomination at 75% (nearly 280,000,000 or so). US Muslims in 2015 were considerably less populous at about 2.1% (3.3 million). Based purely on sheer numbers of the available pool of possible white or Christian extremists, it makes total sense deaths at their hands might be considerably higher than every other extremist possibility. However, at this point in US history since 9/11, the numbers say otherwise.
As I said earlier, the media, Democrats and others giddily highlighted a time when the numbers were solidly in favor of their anti-white, anti-Christian narrative, before the end of November, 2015. December, 2015 brought us the San Bernardino killings of 14 by Syed Rizwan Farook and Tashfeen Malik, a married Muslim couple, bumping the body count closer to even at 48-45. At this point, surely the Democrats and the media are beginning to sweat the numbers since they know all it takes is one more mass killing in the name of Islam to ruin their narrative and that could happen at any moment.
That unfortunate moment arrived on 6/12/16 in Orlando, FL when the pro-Hillary, anti-Trump, ISIS-supporting Omar Mateen massacred 49 defenseless patrons of the Pulse nightclub where some, if not many, of them were homosexuals. Most likely this caused a great deal of consternation on the left because two of the three most protected identity groups of the left were involved in very different ways in this event: Muslims and the LGBTQ community (third most-protected group being blacks). "A Muslim killed a bunch of gays!!! What should we do? I know, let's blame the gun, like always."
Now... the meat of the post: Let's use the immediate post-Charleston body count of 48/26 and link them to the proportion of whites in the US, the proportion of Christians in the US and finally the proportion of Muslims in the US. This is broken down into a calculation which measures the common crime statistic of ### per 100,000 of the population, which is about 323 million now.
48 deaths at the hands of white extremists vs. the population of 195,645,000 whites equals .0245 extremist deaths per 100,000 whites, or .0149 white extremist deaths per 100,000 Americans. 48 deaths at the hands of Christian extremists vs. the population of 280,000,000 equals .0171 extremist deaths per 100,000 Christians, or the same .0149 Christian extremist deaths per 100,000 Americans.
26 deaths at the hands of jihadis vs. the population of 3,300,000 US Muslims equals .7879 jihadi deaths per 100,000 US Muslims, or .0080 jihadi deaths per 100,000 Americans.
Pre-San Bernardino, jihadis, as a percentage of the US Muslim population, were 32.16x more deadly than white extremists and 46.08x more deadly than Christian extremists, making the average 39.12x higher. As of this posting (6/18/17), with the ratio now 95 jihadi deaths vs. 51 white/Christian extremist deaths, the increase jumps to 108.23x and 158.16x, respectively. The average is now 133.20x higher than US white/Christian extremist deaths.
With 11 jihadi attacks killing 95 people, their average deaths per attack is 8.64. Whites have 19 attacks with 51 deaths equaling 2.68 deaths per attack. Considering the 11 jihadi attacks from a population of 3.3 million US Muslims vs. the 19 white and/or Christian extremist attacks from their 196 million and 280 million member US population, respectively, jihadis contribute 186.91x more attacks per capita than whites and 273.29x more than Christians in the US since 9/11.
The entire point of this marathon post is to highlight the wildly disproportionate number of US citizens killed by the relatively teeny-tiny population of US Muslims compared to orders of magnitude higher populations of US whites and US Christians. Because of the major difference between the US Muslim vs. white and/or Christian populations, it does show the average person going about their business in the US is 2.1375 times more likely to be killed by the average Christian and 1.8625 times more likely to be killed by the average white person. That is not debatable but based on the site favored by the left until recently, you and I are over 100x more likely to be killed by an Omar Mateen than a Dylan Roof on any given day.
26 deaths at the hands of jihadis vs. the population of 3,300,000 US Muslims equals .7879 jihadi deaths per 100,000 US Muslims, or .0080 jihadi deaths per 100,000 Americans.
Pre-San Bernardino, jihadis, as a percentage of the US Muslim population, were 32.16x more deadly than white extremists and 46.08x more deadly than Christian extremists, making the average 39.12x higher. As of this posting (6/18/17), with the ratio now 95 jihadi deaths vs. 51 white/Christian extremist deaths, the increase jumps to 108.23x and 158.16x, respectively. The average is now 133.20x higher than US white/Christian extremist deaths.
With 11 jihadi attacks killing 95 people, their average deaths per attack is 8.64. Whites have 19 attacks with 51 deaths equaling 2.68 deaths per attack. Considering the 11 jihadi attacks from a population of 3.3 million US Muslims vs. the 19 white and/or Christian extremist attacks from their 196 million and 280 million member US population, respectively, jihadis contribute 186.91x more attacks per capita than whites and 273.29x more than Christians in the US since 9/11.
The entire point of this marathon post is to highlight the wildly disproportionate number of US citizens killed by the relatively teeny-tiny population of US Muslims compared to orders of magnitude higher populations of US whites and US Christians. Because of the major difference between the US Muslim vs. white and/or Christian populations, it does show the average person going about their business in the US is 2.1375 times more likely to be killed by the average Christian and 1.8625 times more likely to be killed by the average white person. That is not debatable but based on the site favored by the left until recently, you and I are over 100x more likely to be killed by an Omar Mateen than a Dylan Roof on any given day.
